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The Pescadero Perspective

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news Scmp World 2026-04-23

China's Potential Role in Stabilizing the Gulf Region

The Iran conflict has significantly disrupted the Gulf states' security and economic stability. Concerns over disruptions to the Strait of Hormuz and rising war-risk premiums are prompting discussions about alternative global partnerships.


The Iran war has delivered a systemic shock to the Gulf’s security architecture and economic miracle. Two taboos were rapidly broken. The Strait of Hormuz, which carries roughly one-fifth of global oil consumption and close to a quarter of seaborne crude, was paralysed for sustained periods. Iranian strikes reached deep into Gulf territory, hitting ports, energy terminals and airports with a frequency that exceeded attacks on Israel. War-risk insurance premiums and tanker charter rates surged...

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