The article analyzes the historical tendency for ceasefires to fail, particularly in conflicts involving Iran. It argues that merely stopping combat violence is insufficient without addressing the core political issues that started the hostilities.

The fraying of the ceasefire in the US-Israel war against Iran reflects grim patterns of history. Truces are often doomed because they focus on stopping battle-related violence and rarely begin to address the underlying struggles that ignited hostilities. A pause without a shared common endgame often resets the battlefield as reasons harden for prolonging warfare. Viable political solutions seldom follow and take hold for peace to endure. Over the past decade, we’ve seen the perils. The Minsk...